The number one reason beginners never close is not that they cannot find a house. It is that they do not know what to offer, so they either overpay and end up with a contract no buyer wants, or they never make the offer at all. The missing piece is almost always the MAO formula real estate wholesalers use to price a deal before they talk numbers with a seller.
There is one formula that fixes this. Every offer we make, and every offer our students make, starts here. Below you will find the formula, how to get each input right, a worked example, how to write the offer down, and how to present a number below asking without losing the seller.
The MAO formula real estate wholesalers use
MAO = (ARV × 70%) − Repairs − Your fee
MAO is your maximum allowable offer — the most you can pay the seller and still have a deal that a cash buyer will take from you. Each piece matters:
- ARV (after-repair value) is what the house sells for once it is fixed up. Use sold comps only — same bed and bath count, similar size, within half a mile, within six months. Never use active listings; those are wishes, not sales.
- 70% is the cash buyer’s margin plus their holding, closing, and selling costs. In hot markets buyers will stretch to 75%; in slow ones they want 65%. Ask your A-list buyers what they use.
- Repairs is a real estimate, not a guess. A quick rule: cosmetic work runs $15–25 per square foot, kitchen-and-baths-and-systems $35–55, a full gut $70 and up. Add 10% for surprises.
- Your fee is built in from the start. First deals typically carry $8,000–$15,000. Never plan to “squeeze it out of the buyer later.”
The per-square-foot figures above are rough starting points. Labor and material costs differ from market to market, so confirm your ranges with two or three local contractors or with the buyers on your list before you rely on them.
Getting each input right
The formula is simple. The skill is in the inputs. A small error in ARV or repairs moves your MAO by thousands of dollars, and a buyer will catch it at the walkthrough.
Pulling ARV from sold comps
Start with three to five sold properties that match the subject house on bedrooms, bathrooms, size, age, and style, and that sold in renovated condition. Stay close to the property and inside the same subdivision or school boundaries when you can, because a street can change values. Adjust for obvious differences like a garage or an extra bathroom, and throw out any sale that looks like an outlier. If you want the full method, read how to calculate ARV.
Estimating repairs on a walk-through
Walk every room with a checklist and write down what you see: roof age, HVAC age, electrical panel, plumbing type, foundation cracks, water stains, windows, flooring, kitchen, baths, and paint. Then decide which level the house falls into (cosmetic, kitchen-baths-systems, or full gut), multiply by the square footage, and add line items for big-ticket systems. Photos of every problem help you later when the buyer asks how you got your number.
Choosing your percentage
The 70% rule is a starting point, not a law. Some buyers in competitive areas pay more; some want a deeper discount on older homes or larger rehabs. Your cash buyer list is where this number really comes from: ask each buyer what percentage of ARV they pay, and use the one your likely buyer uses.
A worked example
A 3-bed, 2-bath house that will be worth $400,000 fixed up. Repairs come in at $45,000. You want a $15,000 fee.
- $400,000 × 70% = $280,000
- $280,000 − $45,000 repairs = $235,000
- $235,000 − $15,000 fee = $220,000 MAO
If the seller needs more than $220,000, it is not a wholesale deal at this ARV. Either the repair number comes down after a closer look, the ARV goes up with better comps, or you walk. Walking is a skill. The offer that does not get made is not the one that costs you money; the bad offer that gets accepted is.
How the numbers shift
Using the same example, look at how sensitive the result is. If your buyer uses 65% instead of 70%, the math becomes $400,000 × 65% = $260,000, minus $45,000 repairs, minus $15,000 fee, for an MAO of $200,000. That five-point change moved your offer by $20,000. If repairs turn out to be $60,000 instead of $45,000 at 70%, your MAO drops to $205,000. This is why you confirm the percentage with buyers and walk the property before you commit to a price.
Leave room to negotiate
Your MAO is a ceiling, not your opening number. Many wholesalers open somewhat below MAO so there is room to move up if the seller counters. In the example above, you might open around $200,000, with $220,000 as the number you will not go past. Whatever you do, never go over your MAO to win the contract. A contract above MAO is a contract no buyer will take.
How to write the offer
Once you have your number, put it on paper. A written offer looks serious and makes the terms clear to everyone. Use a purchase agreement built for investors, and make sure it covers:
- Purchase price at or below your MAO.
- Buyer listed as your name or company “and/or assigns.”
- An inspection period long enough to confirm repairs and line up a buyer.
- Earnest money amount, held by the title company and refundable during the inspection period.
- A closing date that gives your cash buyer time to close.
- Access for you, your buyers, and contractors before closing.
For a clause-by-clause walk-through, read the wholesale real estate contract explained. Tell the seller plainly that you may assign the contract or bring in a partner to close, and include any disclosures your state requires. Whether you need a license to wholesale also depends on your state; see when a license is required for wholesaling.
Pre-offer checklist
Run through this list before any number leaves your mouth:
- At least three sold comps in renovated condition, all from the last six months.
- A written repair estimate with photos, plus 10% for surprises.
- The percentage your most likely buyer pays, confirmed by asking them.
- Your fee written into the formula, not added later.
- An opening number below MAO and a firm ceiling at MAO.
- Two or three buyers on your list who fit this property.
If any line is blank, you are not ready to make the offer yet. Fill it in first, even if it means calling the seller back the next day.
How to present a number below asking
Sellers do not hate low offers. They hate surprises and disrespect. The script is simple:
- Set the expectation before you give the number: “I buy as-is, with cash, and I can close in two weeks. Because of that, my number is going to be below what you would get after fixing it up and listing it.”
- Give the number in writing within 48 hours of the walk-through, with the repair list attached. A list of what is wrong makes the number make sense.
- When they say it is too low, agree: “It is lower than a retail sale, you are right. What it buys you is no repairs, no showings, no commissions, and a closing date you pick.” Then be quiet.
If the seller says no, thank them and ask if you can check back in a few weeks. Situations change. A seller who was not ready in March may call you in May, especially if they came from a list of motivated sellers with a real reason to move on.
Common offer mistakes
- Pulling ARV from active listings or from a house in much better condition.
- Guessing repairs from the curb instead of walking the property.
- Using 70% when your actual buyers pay less.
- Leaving your fee out of the formula and hoping to add it later.
- Opening at your MAO, which leaves nowhere to go when the seller counters.
- Giving a verbal number and never following up in writing.
Frequently asked questions
Is the 70% rule always right?
No. It is a common rule of thumb that covers a buyer’s costs and profit on many rehab deals. Your buyers set the real percentage in your market, so ask them and adjust.
What if the seller’s price is above my MAO?
Recheck your comps and repair estimate once. If the numbers still do not work, tell the seller what you can pay and why, and follow up later. Do not raise your offer past MAO to save the deal.
Should I include my fee in the number I show the seller?
The seller sees your purchase price, not a breakdown. Your fee is part of your math, and it is paid through the closing when your buyer takes over the contract.
How fast should I send a written offer?
Within 48 hours of the walk-through is a good standard. It keeps momentum and shows the seller you are serious.
Inside the Mentorship Program, every offer gets reviewed live before you make it — comps, repairs, and the exit — so you never present a number alone.
Working a specific market? Our state-by-state wholesaling guides cover the licensing rules, deed records and probate courts for each state and its major cities.
Wholesaling guides for top markets
Run the numbers on a real property
The free kit includes the deal analyzer worksheet with this exact formula, a worked example, and the offer script.